How to build a dynasty

IN 2007, political scientist Julio Tehankee wrote that the two houses of the Philippine Congress have practically been home for at least 160 families over the last century.

“These families have had two or more members who have served in Congress, and they account for nearly 424 of the 2,407 men and women who have been elected to the national legislature from 1907 to 2004,” Tehankee wrote in the article “And the clans play on.”

More than 20 years after the People Power Revolution that toppled a dictatorship in 1986, the clans persist in the Philippines. In fact, Tehankee observed:

“Political clans have been an enduring feature of Philippine politics. In the upcoming local and congressional contests, that will remain to be so. Majority of these families or clans, in fact, take their roots from local politics. Generally considered as a grouping within the elites of society, the political clan is basically composed of a family and its network of relations that actively pursues elective or appointive political office at the local and/or national level. In many cases, the clan has also managed to maintain power through generations.”

But how are clans built?

Jejomar Binay

IT’S ALL in the family for the Binays. Philippine Vice-President Jejomar Binay and three of his children are in government. Nancy is a senator, Mar-Len Abigail is a representative, and Junjun is a city mayor| HLURB Photo

PCIJ founding executive director Sheila S. Coronel explored this issue in 2007 and came up with a summary of seven factors upon which dynasties are built.

Money, machine, media and/or movies, marriage, murder and mayhem, myth, and mergers are the seven Ms, the required elements for a dynasty to endure.

1. MONEY

The families that endure and survive political upheaval are more likely to be those that have a sustainable economic base to finance their participation in electoral battles. Philippine elections are costly — a congressional campaign in 2004, according to campaign insiders, could have cost up to P30 million in Metro Manila. In rural areas, the price tag is much less: P10 million on average, although campaigns can be run for P3 million or less in smaller districts where the competition is not too intense.

The investment may be worth it, as the rates of return can be high, depending on how well congressional office is exploited. Historically, families have been able to use their positions to expand their landholdings or their business empires, using their preferential access to privileges from the state — loans, franchises, monopolies, tax exemptions, cheap foreign exchange, subsidies, etc. These privileges have made political families wealthy, in turn allowing them to assemble formidable election machines that guarantee victory at the polls. The most successful families are those able to establish business empires not solely dependent on government largesse. They must also be competent enough to run these businesses well, allowing their members to survive electoral defeat and political ignominy.

In Landlords and Capitalists, political scientist Temario Rivera found that 87 families controlled the top 120 manufacturing companies from 1964-1986. Sixteen of these families — about 20 percent of the total — were involved in politics. Most of them were members of the landowning elite that emerged during the 19th century, including the Aranetas, the Cojuangcos, the Jacintos, the Madrigals, and the Yulos. “Through government influence,” writes Rivera, “landed capitalists caused the diversion of state resources to traditional elite economic activities like sugar and coconut milling, limiting further industrial diversification.”

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FORMER FIRST LADY IMELDA R. MARCOS. More than 20 years after the EDSA People Power that toppled his husband's rule, the Marcoses are still in power | Photo by Lilen Uy

FORMER FIRST LADY IMELDA R. MARCOS. More than 20 years after the EDSA People Power that toppled his husband’s rule, the Marcoses are still in power | Photo by Lilen Uy

PNoy’s ratings plunge

PRESIDENT BENIGNO S. AQUINO III as he delivers his speech  during the Technical Education and Skills Development Authority (TESDA) – Coke Store Training and Access to Resources (STAR) Program Women's Month Celebration 2015 at the Mall of Asia (MOA) Arena, MOA Complex in Pasay City on Wednesday, March 25, 2015 | Rey Baniquet / Malacañang Photo Bureau / PCOO

PRESIDENT BENIGNO S. AQUINO III as he delivers his speech during the Technical Education and Skills Development Authority (TESDA) – Coke Store Training and Access to Resources (STAR) Program Women’s Month Celebration 2015 at the Mall of Asia (MOA) Arena, MOA Complex in Pasay City on Wednesday, March 25, 2015 | Rey Baniquet / Malacañang Photo Bureau / PCOO

Top five government officials fail to get majority trust and approval ratings

The trust and approval of Filipinos for President Benigno S. Aquino III dropped significantly compared to the ratings of four other top government officials of the country, the March 2015 Ulat ng Bayan survey results of creditable pollster Pulse Asia showed.

During the November 14, 2014 to March 15, 2015 period, Aquino’s approval ratings dropped by minus 21 points (38 percent from 59 percent) while those of Vice-President Jejomar C. Binay and Senate President Franklin M. Drilon remained unchanged (46 and 49 percent, respectively).

SEN. PRESIDENT FRANKLIN DRILON, center | Senate Photo

SEN. PRESIDENT FRANKLIN DRILON, center | Senate Photo

Approval for House Speaker Feliciano R. Belmonte (27 percent from 34 percent) and Chief Justice Maria Lourdes A. Sereno (29 percent from 37 percent) also dropped.

Disapproval for the performance of Aquino also increased by 12 percentage points (23 percent from 11 percent) while that of Binay remained unchanged at 23 percent.

VICE-PRESIDENT BINAY, left, with President Benigno S. Aquino III. Is Binay pretending to be poor? | Photo from PCOO

VICE-PRESIDENT BINAY, left, with President Benigno S. Aquino III | Photo from PCOO

Almost the same number of Filipinos, however, are undecided about the performance of Aquino (39 percent). The percentage of those undecided was highest for Belmonte (53 percent), followed by Sereno (48 percent), Drilon (38 percent), and Binay (30 percent).

SOURCE: Pulse Asia

SOURCE: Pulse Asia

Aquino also got the highest loss of trust among Filipinos (36 percent from 56 percent) while the ratings of Binay (42 percent from 44 percent) and Drilon (44 percent from 42 percent) were almost unchanged while those of Belmonte and Sereno improved slightly (five percent and four percent, respectively).

SOURCE: Pulse Asia

SOURCE: Pulse Asia

 

Significantly, however, none of the leading government officials were able to obtain majority and approval ratings for the first quarter of 2015, Pulse Asia said.

Pulse Asia conducted the survey fieldwork for the survey from March 1 to 7, 2015, using face-to-face interviews with 1,200 representative adults aged 18 years old and above.

It said the survey has a plus/minus three percent margin of error with a 95 percent confidence level while estimates in Metro Manila, the rest of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao have a plus/minus six percent margin of error with a level of confidence also at 95 percent.

The Mamasapano operation and related developments dominated the news headlines before and during the face-to-face interviews conducted by Pulse Asia from March 1 – 7, 2015. These included:

  • The declaration by President Benigno S. Aquino III of 30 January 2015 as National Day of Mourning for the fallen officers;
  • The President’s absence during the arrival honors for the 42 of the 44 fallen policemen whose bodies arrived at the Villamor Air Base from Maguindanao on 29 January;
  • President Aquino’s conferment of the Medalya ng Katapangan upon the 44 slain PNP-SAF policemen during the necrological services held as part of the National Day of Mourning;
  • The conduct of several investigations to shed light on what really transpired in Mamasapano and who should be held accountable for the death of the 44 policemen;
  • A proposal for the creation of a still another body – an independent truth commission – to conduct a probe into the incident;
  • Amidst the unresolved questions surrounding the Mamasapano incident, calls for the resignation of President Aquino by several senior bishops belonging to the National Transformation Council (NTC), student groups and other militant organizations;
  • The statement by the Catholic Bishops’ Conference of the Philippines (CBCP) that it is not supportive of such calls even as it favors the creation of a truth commission; and
  • The expression by several business groups of their continued support for President Aquino and his administration’s peace initiatives in Mindanao despite the events in Mamasapano.

    SOURCE: Pulse Asia

    SOURCE: Pulse Asia

Other developments during this period that are connected to the Mamasapano encounter were:

  • The removal of PNP-SAF Commander Getulio Napeñas who was removed from his post on 27 January 2015 following the death of 44 of his men during the Mamasapano encounter;
  • The resignation of PNP Director General Alan Purisima on 05 February 2015 amidst reports that he was involved in the decision-making process related to the police operation in Mamasapano whilst under preventive suspension resulting from a graft and corruption charge;
  • Reports that disgruntled members of the country’s armed forces are planning to stage a coup against President Aquino in the aftermath of the Mamasapano incident and expressions of loyalty to the Philippine government by high ranking military and police officers who say that they still have to verify such reports; and
  • Military operations conducted toward the end of February 2015 by the AFP against the BIFF and the Abu Sayyaf in certain areas of Mindanao reportedly to reduce these groups’ ability to carry out violent attacks against civilians. The military offensive has resulted in casualties on both sides as well as the evacuation of thousands of civilians.

Pulse Asia said its pool of academic fellows “takes full responsibility for the design and conduct of the survey, as well as for analyses it makes based on the survey data.” Most important of all, “in keeping with our academic nature, no religious, political, economic, or partisan group influenced any of these processes.”

“Pulse Asia Research undertakes Ulat ng Bayan surveys on its own without any party singularly commissioning the research effort,” it said.

Filling up vacancies in the Palace

By Charmaine P. Lirio

THE LATEST public opinion poll of PulseAsia Research yields a split opinion among Filipinos on the question of whether or not President Benigno Simeon C. Aquino III should stay in office or resign, on account of the Mamasapano incident.

A slim 42 percent majority disagrees with calls for Aquino to step down, 29 percent agrees, and a significant 29 percent remains undecided.

Controversies have often sparked similar calls for presidents before Aquino to quit their post but the Philippines has had no experience of an incumbent chief executive voluntarily stepping down, or at least not before people power episodes unfold.

Aquino is the nation’s 15th president. Already, however, the country has witnessed five presidential vacancies – three triggered by death and two others by people power revolts.

FORMER PRESIDENT Manuel Quezon, seated, second from right, with his family | Photo from Presidential Museum and Library PH Flickr page

FORMER PRESIDENT Manuel Quezon, seated, second from right, with his family | Photo from Presidential Museum and Library PH Flickr page

In the first three cases, the vice presidents succeeded and served the unexpired terms of the presidents who died while in office. This happened during the terms of presidents Manuel Quezon, Manuel Roxas, and Ramon Magsaysay. Their vice presidents, Sergio Osmeña, Elpidio Quirino, and Carlos Garcia, respectively, succeeded them in office.

FORMER PRESIDENT Manuel Roxas | Presidential Museum and Library PH Flickr page

FORMER PRESIDENT Manuel Roxas | Presidential Museum and Library PH Flickr page

FORMER PRESIDENT Ramon Magsaysay, first from right, consults jeepney drivers in Malacanang

FORMER PRESIDENT Ramon Magsaysay, first from right, consults jeepney drivers in Malacanang | Photo from Presidential Museum and Library PH Flickr page

People power revolts, meanwhile, snatched power away from Ferdinand Marcos and Joseph “Erap” Ejercito Estrada. Marcos’s ouster necessitated the establishment of a provisional constitution and a “revolutionary government” which accorded the president both executive and legislative powers.

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FORMER Presidents Ferdinand E. Marcos, second from left, top photo, and Joseph E. Estrada share the same fate. Both were ousted by revolts | Estrada photo taken from Joseph Estrada: The Millennium President by Adrian E. Cristobal | All photos from Presidential Museum and Library PH Flickr page

FORMER Presidents Ferdinand E. Marcos, second from left, top photo, and Joseph E. Estrada share the same fate. Both were ousted by revolts | Estrada photo taken from Joseph Estrada: The Millennium President by Adrian E. Cristobal | All photos from Presidential Museum and Library PH Flickr page

Corazon C. Aquino came to power as the rightful winner of the snap presidential elections that Marcos called in February 1986.

FORMER PRESIDENT Corazon C. Aquino on the campaign trail during the 1986 snap polls  | Photo from Presidential Museum and Library PH Flickr page

FORMER PRESIDENT Corazon C. Aquino on the campaign trail during the 1986 snap polls | Photo from Presidential Museum and Library PH Flickr page

Estrada’s term, on the other hand, was continued by his vice president, Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo. He would later claim that he only left his position temporarily but the Supreme Court upheld Arroyo’s ascent to the presidency, adding that Estrada resigned when he left Malacañang and released his statement acknowledging Arroyo’s oath-taking as his successor.

FORMER PRESIDENT Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo | Photo from Presidential Museum and Library PH Flickr page | Photo taken by Marcelino Pascua | OPS-NIB

FORMER PRESIDENT Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo | Photo from Presidential Museum and Library PH Flickr page | Photo taken by Marcelino Pascua | OPS-NIB

The 1987 Constitution provides that in case of resignation or removal from office of the president, the vice president shall serve his or her unexpired term. Thus, should President Aquino relinquish his post, before his term ends on June 30, 2016, his constitutional successor should be Vice President Jejomar C. Binay, who is himself facing controversies, too.

According to the Constitution, if there are no president and vice president on account of “death, permanent disability, removal from office, or resignation of both”, the Senate president or, in case of his/her inability, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, shall be acting president until one is elected and qualifies to the position.

President Benigno S. Aquino III offers prayers to the remains of slain Marine Corporal Josen Mias and Sergeant Francis Jeffel Flores during the wake visit at the Fort Bonifacio Naval Station Mortuary in Taguig City on Monday afternoon (March 16, 2015). President Aquino recognized the heroism of the two marines killed in encounters with Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters (BIFF) in Maguindanao. (Photo by Benhur Arcayan / Malacañang Photo Bureau)

President Benigno S. Aquino III offers prayers to the remains of slain Marine Corporal Josen Mias and Sergeant Francis Jeffel Flores during the wake visit at the Fort Bonifacio Naval Station Mortuary in Taguig City on Monday afternoon (March 16, 2015). President Aquino recognized the heroism of the two marines killed in encounters with Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters (BIFF) in Maguindanao. (Photo by Benhur Arcayan / Malacañang Photo Bureau)

Senate President Franklin Drilon and Speaker Feliciano Belmonte, Jr. currently lead the legislature. Both are members of the president’s political party, the Liberal Party.

In this instance, the Senate president or the House Speaker “need not possess the qualifications prescribed by the Constitution for a President.

And in case of death, permanent disability, or inability of the Senate president or the Speaker, “the Congress is mandated by law to provide for the one who will act as President and the manner he shall be selected until a President or a Vice-President shall have been elected and qualified.” - PCIJ, March 2015

Binay’s P200M pork train to Palace

WE ARE reprinting this story originally titled “Binay bags P200-M PDAF: Pork train to Malacanang?” by PCIJ Executive Director Malou Mangahas and published on our website on July 22, 2012.

WITHIN six months after he took his oath in June 2010 as the country’s 15th Vice President, Jejomar ‘Jojo’ C. Binay, had two wishes fulfilled, with a lot of help from President Benigno Simeon C. Aquino III and his friends in Congress.

First, Aquino granted Binay’s request to set up official residence and workplace at the newly renovated Coconut Palace in Manila, a 2.7-hectare “Imeldific” complex built in 1978 supposedly for P1.2-billion.

Second, Aquino and Congress allowed Binay to have his own pork barrel – until then the exclusive perk of lawmakers – although they later pruned his plea for P500-million pork per year to only P200 million.

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PRESIDENT AQUINO, right, with Vice President Binay during happier times| PCOO Photo

PRESIDENT AQUINO, right, with Vice President Binay during happier times| PCOO Photo